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Hedge & Lay Calculator

Calculate the exact lay stake needed on a betting exchange to guarantee profit from free bets, lock in profits from open positions, or minimise losses on qualifying bets.

Odds at the bookmaker
Odds at the exchange
Usually 2% on Betfair
Results
Lay Stake
-
Lay Liability
-
Guaranteed Profit
-
Conversion Rate
-
OutcomeBack ReturnLay P/LNet Profit
Selection Wins---
Selection Loses---
Results
Lay Stake
-
Lay Liability
-
Profit if Wins
-
Profit if Loses
-
OutcomeBack ReturnLay P/LNet Profit
Selection Wins---
Selection Loses---
Results
Lay Stake
-
Lay Liability
-
Qualifying Loss
-
Net Cost
-
OutcomeBack ReturnLay P/LNet Profit
Selection Wins---
Selection Loses---

How to Use

1

Choose Your Mode

Select Free Bet Conversion for free bets, Back-to-Lay to lock in profits, or Qualifying Bet to find the cost of qualifying.

2

Enter Your Odds

Input the back odds from your bookmaker, the lay odds from the exchange, your stake, and the exchange commission rate.

3

Read Your Results

See the exact lay stake, your guaranteed profit or qualifying cost, and the outcome for every scenario in the results table.

Why This Matters

Matched betting is one of the few risk-free ways to profit from sports betting. By placing opposing bets — a back bet at a bookmaker and a lay bet at an exchange — you can extract value from free bets, sign-up offers, and promotional deals with zero risk.

The key challenge is calculating the correct lay stake. Get it wrong and you either leave money on the table or expose yourself to unnecessary losses. This calculator does the maths for you, ensuring your lay stake perfectly hedges your position regardless of the outcome.

Free Bet Conversion is the most popular use case. When a bookmaker offers a free bet, this calculator shows you how to convert it into guaranteed cash. A good conversion rate is typically 70-80% of the free bet value, depending on the difference between back and lay odds.

Related Tools

FAQ

Lay betting means betting against an outcome on a betting exchange like Betfair. If you lay a selection, you win if it loses and lose if it wins — the opposite of a normal (back) bet. The exchange matches you with another bettor who wants to back that selection.
Betfair charges a standard 2% commission on net winnings (5% for some markets). Smarkets charges 2%, and Betdaq charges 2-5%. Always check your exchange’s commission rate, as loyalty discounts can lower it over time.
Look for events where back and lay odds are very close. This typically means high-liquidity markets like Premier League football. The smaller the gap between back and lay odds, the higher your conversion rate. Aim for a spread of less than 5% between back and lay odds.
A qualifying bet is your own money — you’re placing it to trigger a free bet offer, so you want to minimise the loss. A free bet is money the bookmaker gives you — you don’t get the stake back, so the formula is different. The qualifying mode calculates your cost, while the free bet mode calculates your profit.
Yes, matched betting is completely legal in the UK and most countries. It’s simply a mathematical technique that uses free bets and promotions. However, bookmakers may limit or close accounts of customers who they believe are only using promotional offers, so it’s worth being aware of this risk.
Bet £10 Get £30 Free Bets
Code: NEWBONUS
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Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets
Code: NEWBONUS
Claim
Bet £10 Get £30 Free Bets
Code: NEWBONUS
Claim